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Business · Elon Musk

Tesla's Profits Shrink as Spending on AI Soars

The automaker posted flat revenue and lower earnings this quarter, citing heavy investments in robotics and software while blaming battery supply for stagnant sales.

By Idris Robinson ·

Illustration for: Tesla's Profits Shrink as Spending on AI Soars
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486,532. That is the exact number of vehicles Tesla delivered in the third quarter of 2026, a figure that stands as the focal point of the company's latest financial report released after market close on Tuesday. While the volume was down slightly from the same period last year, it significantly outpaced the 461,974 deliveries that analysts had predicted. This delivery count sets the stage for a complex picture of a company that is selling more cars than expected but making less money on each one.

The financial details reveal a company in a state of transition. Tesla reported revenue of $28.05 billion, which was essentially unchanged from a year ago and aligned closely with Wall Street’s consensus estimate of $28.06 billion. However, the bottom line saw a dip. Non-GAAP earnings came in at $0.48 per share, beating the expected $0.45 but down 4% from the $0.50 reported in the third quarter of 2025. On a GAAP basis, net income fell 43% to $787 million, or $0.22 per share, a decline driven by increased operational costs and changes in investment valuations.

The shift in Tesla’s financial structure is evident in its spending habits. Operating expenses rose 39% year-over-year to $4.78 billion, driven largely by a 69% jump in research and development costs to $2.76 billion. This surge reflects the company’s aggressive investment in its "Super Intelligence" division, the Optimus robot, and the Cybercab. Additionally, capital spending reached $4.73 billion, more than double the amount spent in the same period last year. Despite this, Tesla ended the quarter with $45.4 billion in cash and investments, providing a substantial buffer for future expenditures.

Management’s explanation for the flat sales volume points to supply rather than demand. The company stated that "battery availability continued to be the limiting factor in increasing auto volumes in the quarter." Despite this constraint, Tesla reported holding the largest backlog for its passenger vehicles in four years. This supply-side narrative stands in contrast to the fact that average selling prices continued to fall, a trend that is typically associated with strong demand rather than limited production capacity. Inventory levels did improve, dropping to 11 days of supply from 15 in the previous quarter as Tesla delivered 22,141 more cars than it built.

Margins showed signs of recovery, though the broader trend of profit erosion remains. Automotive gross margin excluding regulatory credits climbed to 18.1%, up from 16.3% in the second quarter and 15.4% a year ago. This improvement was attributed to a better mix of products and regions, as well as increased revenue from Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions. However, operating income still fell 56% year-over-year to $718 million, resulting in an operating margin of 2.6%, down from 5.8% in the prior year. The decline in operating profit is largely due to the rapid growth in spending on AI and robotics, which is outpacing the growth in gross profit.

The energy storage segment presented a mixed picture. Revenue in this area fell 16% to $2.88 billion, a drop that Tesla partly attributed to tariff-related customer refunds, even though energy deployments rose 10% to 13.7 GWh. While the segment’s gross margin jumped to 33% from 20% in the second quarter, total gross profit for energy still slipped to $954 million from $1.07 billion a year ago. In contrast, the services and other segment was a bright spot, with revenue growing 33% to $4.61 billion and gross profit hitting a record $734 million, driven by strong performance in charging, insurance, and parts sales.

Investors are closely watching Tesla’s capital expenditure plans. The company has guided for more than $25 billion in spending for the full year 2026. So far, Tesla has spent $13.01 billion through the first nine months. To meet this target, the company would need to spend roughly $12 billion in the fourth quarter alone, more than double its highest spending quarter to date. Since the third-quarter letter did not update this guidance, analysts are left wondering if the spending will accelerate sharply or if some of the planned investments will slip into 2027.

On the technology front, Tesla reported that active FSD subscriptions reached 1.74 million, a 67% increase. This count includes upfront purchases, a definition that aligns with the metrics outlined in the CEO’s 2025 compensation package. The company’s Robotaxi service also made progress, reaching nearly 2 million cumulative unsupervised miles by the end of the quarter, a milestone achieved one month after the Cybercab was added to the Austin fleet. These developments underscore Tesla’s dual focus on scaling its autonomous driving technology while managing the financial pressures of its rapid expansion.

The stakes for Tesla are high as it balances the need to invest in its future against the immediate pressure to maintain profitability. With margins recovering but profits still falling, the company is navigating a delicate period where short-term financial performance is being sacrificed for long-term strategic goals. As management prepares to discuss these results on the earnings call, the focus will remain on whether the current spending spree will yield the returns shareholders have been waiting for, or if the path to sustained profitability remains a distant horizon.

Source: Electrek · original report published

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